Liverpool’s improvement from last season is evident in their increased goals scored, fewer goals conceded, and more games won. Their current position at the top of the league is a testament to this improvement, with five more goals, nine fewer conceded, and 13 more points than their position after 19 games last season.
However, projections show that if Liverpool were to double their current statistics, they would fall short of winning the title. They are forecast to score 78 league goals, concede 32, and accumulate 84 points, which would have been enough for second place last season, five points behind Man City. The last team to win the league with 84 points or less was Leicester in 2016.
To win the Premier League this season, Liverpool will need to continue to improve, as they have done in previous seasons. Other teams’ performances will also play a significant role, with Man City still capable of an incredible run. However, if they drop points in their game in hand, they will be statistically unlikely to win the league.
Opta data shows that Guardiola’s side is only two points worse off now than they were at this stage last season.
Liverpool have had a respectable turnaround in the division, earning 13 points and ranking third. However, West Ham (18) and Aston Villa (14) have surpassed them when comparing the first 19 games of this season to the same period in 2022/23.
It may not be necessary for Liverpool to reach an incredible level this season, depending on the performance of other teams. The Reds are only two points behind their standing in 2021/22, when they nearly secured a historic quadruple.
Thiago’s emergence and the addition of Luis Diaz in January provided a boost to Liverpool’s attack, resulting in the best second half of a season under Klopp. With Thiago and Andy Robertson potentially returning from injury in 2024, fans are hopeful that Liverpool will continue to improve despite Mo Salah and Wataru Endo leaving for international duty in January.
